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Francene--Blog. Year 2014

Isaac Asimov's predictions 50 years on.

4/22/2014

16 Comments

 
PictureWorld Fair 1964
The 1964 World's Fair was held in a park in Queens, New York, just a few minutes away from Manhattan. At that time, I lived in Australia, was 22 years old and pregnant with my third child. I loved reading science fiction novels because the plots stimulated my imagination. I'd inherited my grandmother's collection which included some of the very earliest examples. I heard of the great World Fair and would have loved to see the great Ford Mustang and the first human character, Abraham Lincoln.

Isaac Asimov, one of the 20th century's best-known science fiction authors, published an essay predicting what our society in a future world would look like today in 1964. He wrote 468 books including I, Robot.

Although the official theme of the fair, which ran for two six-month sessions, was Peace Through Understanding, today its vision of an approaching era sticks in our minds.

Many of those predicted technologies on display never quite materialized like underwater housing and levitating cars.

Let's look at the projections for 2014, from the perspective of 1964.

PictureAbraham Lincoln - first human character
"Communications will become sight-sound and you will see as well as hear the person you telephone."

"Robots will neither be common nor very good in 2014, but they will be in existence." Mr Asimov takes credit for introducing the word robotics into the English language. Right now, projects are underway for robots to pass Japan's university exam, perform remote surgery, and even cook a gourmet meal.

"As for television, wall screens will have replaced the ordinary set; but transparent cubes will be making their appearance in which three-dimensional viewing will be possible."

"Kitchen units will be devised that will prepare 'automeals', heating water and converting it to coffee." Automated coffee machines do indeed exist.

Picturedisneyparks,disney,go.com
"Not all the world's population will enjoy the gadgetry world of the future to the full. A larger portion than today will be deprived and although they may be better off, materially, than today, they will be further behind."

Mr Asimov predicted much more and many of his thoughts on the future come close to reality. See more at BBC News. (new window)

Which of these apply to me? I don't have sight-sound telephone or Skype, I've only seen pictures of robots, my television is a 23” set—not a wall, and we don't own a coffee machine. I'm just trying to think of other gadgets we own. My neighbor gave me a little vacuum cleaner to use in tight spots and we have a microwave, as well as electricity and gas cooking devices. That's all. I sweep the hard floors with a broom, just like my ancestors, and my husband washes them with a mop and water. Wheeled devices help me to walk. When I give the subject full consideration, Asimov's predictions don't really affect my life. People are still the same deep down.

How many of these predictions are reality for you?


16 Comments
The Great Gordino link
4/21/2014 07:45:22 pm

Fascinating!
I had heard of Isaac Asimov, but for me I had always associated the 'sci fi' becoming reality with Star Trek's Gene Rodenberry - maybe he got his ideas influenced by Asimov?
Cheers, Gordon

Reply
Francene Stanley
4/21/2014 08:30:27 pm

Our minds work in mysterious ways. Maybe all 'sci-fi' writers influenced each other.

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Amaia - You Made My Day link
4/21/2014 07:49:09 pm

Wow, it is incredible how some of his predictions were right!
I do have some of the gadgets he mentioned and I can say they are helpful!
It is good to look back and realize how our lives can be different or similar to that time

Reply
Francene Stanley
4/21/2014 08:32:42 pm

Looking back, we've made so many improvements. But if the Earth suffered a catastrophe, people would still survive with the old skills, as shown in my co-written futuristic books.

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lisa prince link
4/21/2014 08:11:00 pm

thankyou for the very interesting post , it is interesting to see how many predictions come true

Reply
Francene Stanley
4/21/2014 08:33:19 pm

These men of science and imagination were so clever.

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Roy A. Ackerman, PhD, EA @Cerebrations.biz link
4/21/2014 09:43:19 pm

Ah, Isaac was not just a science fiction writer, but an accomplished science writer, as well. As such, he could temper his ideas with the cadence of technology and guesstimate the underlying trends.

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Francene Stanley
4/22/2014 03:09:45 am

It helps to have a good brain when writing--in fact, it's essential. Not many people could match his expertise.

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Nick link
4/21/2014 10:32:14 pm

I've always thought of Asimov in the same way as HG Wells and Arthur C. Clarke. Such a great writer.

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Francene Stanley
4/22/2014 03:10:27 am

They're all members of the great sci-fi writers.

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Scott link
4/21/2014 11:34:24 pm

Many of his predictions of the future were right on the spot. Especially those pertaining to communication.

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Francene Stanley
4/22/2014 03:11:18 am

Wish I had his insight about communications for my book. Sigh!

Reply
Michael link
4/22/2014 01:42:51 am

Isaac was indeed spot on on many ideas,wasn't he?i think the last World's Fair was 1964,wasn't it?

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Francene Stanley
4/22/2014 03:12:03 am

What a great mind he must have had, way back then in 1964.

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Sophie Bowns link
4/22/2014 05:47:07 am

Gosh, how did he predict such things?- Wow!

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Alana link
4/22/2014 10:10:45 am

When I was in college (around 1972) I had the opportunity of hearing Isaac Asimov speak - I think it was at Hunter College in NYC, and he was quite an accomplished public speaker. I read many of his nonfiction books when I was in college - he had a gift for taking tough topics and making them understandable to the average reader. I also enjoyed various of his science fiction novels. His writing could be clumsy at times but his ideas were wonderful.

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    Francene Stanley:
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    I use news items in my fantasy novels.

    Born in Australia, I moved to Britain half way through my long life. If you like my writing, why not consider purchasing one of my books on the sidebar below?
    I blogged 260 days last year. Link.

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