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Francene--Blog. Year 2014

Should we worry about an impending doomsday?

3/2/2014

10 Comments

 
This is real rather than a dystopian fiction like my co-written novels featured on the sidebar. Edith Parzefall and I wrote about a future long after the Great Flood, when mankind struggles to survive amongst spreading forests. Only buried objects and ruined buildings speak of the past.

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Rather than imaginative predictions, the danger is real. An international team of scientists, mathematicians and philosophers at Oxford University's Future of Humanity Institute is investigating the biggest dangers. They put their case in a research paper, Existential Risk as a Global Priority. International policymakers must pay serious attention to the reality of species-obliterating risks.

Director of the institute, Dr Bostrom says there is a real gap between the speed of technological advance and our understanding of its implications. In other words, we're like children pressing random buttons on sophisticated technology with no idea of the consequences. But he predicts an approaching change for the human condition whether or not we're ready for it.

Picturewww.independentsciencenews.org
Humanity is likely to survive pandemics and natural disasters. Our species has already outlasted many thousands of years of disease, famine, flood, predators, persecution, earthquakes and environmental change. Even the huge loss of life in the 20th Century in two world wars,and the Spanish flu epidemic, failed to halt an increase in the global human population.

The risk of extinction from asteroid impacts and super-volcanic eruptions remains minute for the next hundred years.

Nuclear war might cause appalling destruction, but enough individuals could survive to allow the species to continue. That's reassuring. But what's the bad news?

Dr Bostrom believes we've entered a new kind of technological era which threatens our future as never before. We have no track record of surviving these new threats.


Picturewww.bioethics.net
Unpredictable experiments in synthetic biology, nanotechnology and machine intelligence could produce unintended results. The institute is concerned about unforeseen consequences in manipulating the boundaries of human biology, despite it promising great results.

During warfare, future governments will have a major challenge to control and restrict misuses of nanotechnology at a molecular or atomic level.

There are also fears about how artificial or machine intelligence interact with the external world.

In terms of risks from biology, he worries about misguided good intentions, as experiments carry out genetic modifications, dismantling and rebuilding genetic structures. There is always the risk of an unintended sequence of events or something that becomes harmful when transferred into another environment.

Mmmm. I can only speculate on which device or catastrophe will threaten mankind. Well, I've already done so in the Higher Ground novels.


10 Comments
Katie Clark link
3/1/2014 07:25:03 pm

This sounds really interesting. I really enjoy books which are based in a realm of actually possibility.

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Francene Stanley
3/2/2014 02:37:21 am

I'm glad I caught your interest, Katie.

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Nick link
3/1/2014 07:34:25 pm

Worrying is like sitting in a rocking chair, fun, but it doens't solve anything.

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Francene Stanley
3/2/2014 02:38:17 am

Spoken like a forecasting astronomer, Nick.

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Mike Gardner link
3/1/2014 11:03:55 pm

Most people spend their time worrying over things that they cannot control, they should put in the same effort into changing the things that they can control

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Francene Stanley
3/2/2014 02:38:58 am

Yep. I must start cooking the evening meal. I can do that.

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Alana link
3/2/2014 12:30:53 am

I believe that there are threats and that our literature (and movies) reflect our deepest fears.But ourdeepest fears (zombies, especially) may not be what threatens us the most. Two excellent (I believe) depictions of the aftermath of bioterrorism are the YA series Rot and Ruin and its sequels by Jonathan Maberry, and the Razorland triology of Ann Aguirre. In the 50s we had the fears of nuclear war reflected in A Canticle for Leibowitz and the original Gojira movie that was remade as "Godzilla" for American audiences. Ideally, good literature and movies should spur us to action - whether it does so, in today's times - I'm not too sure bout.

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Francene Stanley
3/2/2014 02:40:24 am

Thanks for the book recommendations, Alana. Maybe if books encourage thought, that's good too.

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Sophie Bowns link
3/2/2014 05:40:37 am

Just out of interest; how do you co-write a novel?

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Francene Stanley
3/2/2014 07:12:12 pm

For the answer to that, see my author's website:
http://francene--wordstitcher.weebly.com

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    Francene Stanley:
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    I use news items in my fantasy novels.

    Born in Australia, I moved to Britain half way through my long life. If you like my writing, why not consider purchasing one of my books on the sidebar below?
    I blogged 260 days last year. Link.

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